GUEST COLUMN, Dick Morris
Despite polls indicating that Trump has the momentum behind him with three weeks to go in the election, the Democrats have racked up a 250,000 lead in early voting in Pennsylvania.
628,785 voters in the state have voted early as of October 15th including 415, 248 Democrats but only 157,857 Republicans.
We can’t, of course, find out who the early votes were for until they are tallied on or after election day, but the fact that a quarter of a million more Democrats than Republicans have voted is bad news for the Trump campaign.
In the 2022 Senate race in Pennsylvania, the Republican candidate Dr. Oz entered election day trailing Democrat John Fetterman by more than 600,000 votes, making it almost impossible for Oz to catch up. Is history repeating itself?
While the Rasmussen Reports poll ofOctober 15th, has Trump winning Pennsylvania by 50-47, the Harris lead in early voting should set off alarm bells in the Trump HQ,
Republicans have been traumatized by the 2020 election where charges of fraud permeated the voting. Reluctant to trust their ballots to the mail or drop boxes, they appear to be waiting for election day to vote in person — or the polls are wrong and Harris is really winning.
Elsewhere, Republicans are holding their own — or better — in early voting. The GOP, for example, leads in Arizona by 10,000 votes and is ahead in Nevada by 1500 ballots.
In North Carolina, we do not know the party affiliation of a third of the early voters but Democrats lead by 10,000 votes among the early ballots but their lead has dwindled lately as more early votes come in.
But the Democratic margin among early Pennsylvania voters has not narrowed as more votes have come in. While the early voter lead does not necessarily foreshadow a Harris victory there, her early vote lead is ominous.
Pennsylvania Republicans need to get off their duffs and send in their ballots for Trump!
